A pair of Lone Star State rivals meet up as Texas takes on Texas Tech in the Big 12 opener in school football’s Week 4 action on Saturday.
Both sides come in at 2-1 on the 12 months: Texas with two easy non-conference wins plus a 1-point loss to Alabama; and Tech with a win over a then-ranked Houston, but coming off a 13-point loss on the street to NC State.
Here’s what you need to find out about this weekend’s matchup.
How to watch
When: Sat., Sept. 24
Time: 3:30 p.m. Eastern
TV: ESPN network
Stream: fuboTV (Start your free trial)
Odds, point spread, betting lines
Line: Texas -6
Moneyline: UT -300 TECH +200
FPI pick: Texas 80.5%
What you should know
Texas. Not exactly breaking information that Bijan Robinson is the engine of the Texas offense. The running back is 1st within the Big 12 with 147.67 complete yards per sport, scoring (12 ppg), total factors (36), and total TDs (6), and is 2nd in rush yards (311), speeding TDs (5), and rush yards per sport (103.7). Having Robinson there as a reputable risk in play-action helps open house for Longhorn receivers like Xavier Worthy to achieve floor on Tech’s back seven, which has struggled in coverage, 1 of a dozen FBS groups to permit a minimum of 3 pass plays of 50-plus yards this season.
Texas Tech. Don’t overlook the Red Raiders’ capacity to put Robinson and the Longhorn assault total in jeopardy. Tech is enjoying better than anticipated on the line, ranking 9th in FBS thus far permitting solely a shade over 2 ypc, is 18th by permitting 82.7 rush ypg, and is prime 20 nationally allowing fewer than 90 rushing yards per sport and all of zero.7 dashing touchdowns. The unit can plug holes and shrink the pocket with a battery of tackles on the behind the line to challenge Robinson early.
Texas vs. Texas Tech: Fast Facts
+ Tech is 4th nationally with 373.7 passing yards per game
+ Texas is 101st nationally in 3rd down offense (0.333)
+ Tech is minus-1.67 in turnover margin, 123rd nationally
+ Texas is 7-1 when it out-gains opponents beneath Steve Sarkisian and 0-7 when outgained by opponents
+ Tech is 18th nationally in run protection, allowing 82.7 ypg
+ Texas is 1-6 when scoring 0-29 factors underneath Sarkisian and 6-2 when scoring 30 or more
+ Texas Tech has held opponents to beneath 30 points in 6 straight games
+ Texas is 2-6 under Sark when the sport is decided by 1-9 points
+ Tech is 14-12 all-time in Big 12 openers, however 0-5 in openers towards Texas
+ Texas is 4-2 beneath Sark when profitable the turnover margin and 1-4 when losing it
+ Tech is 115th nationally dashing for 101.7 ypg
+ UT is 4-1 when it wins the T.O.P. beneath Sarkisian and 3-7 when losing it
+ Texas Tech is 5-4 in residence Big 12 openers
+ Texas is 1-7 beneath Sark when allowing 30-plus points
Texas vs. Texas Tech Prediction
If this one comes down to turnovers, then Texas ought to prevail: the Longhorns have just 1 turnover in 3 games and none within the last 2. Donovan Smith has thrown 5 picks in the final 2 outings for Tech with 3 TD passes.
But the Red Raiders can nonetheless put the ball within the air. Only 3 different teams do it better than Tech, which is nearly at 374 passing yards per recreation, and has the physicality in the entrance seven that can problem Texas’ plan to run the ball with energy early in the sport.
A few net zero or negative performs in the first quarter and Tech can establish essential rhythm by forcing the Longhorn offense off the sector on 3rd downs. QB is still a query for Texas: Quinn Ewers shall be in uniform for the sport after the damage in opposition to Alabama, but it’s unknown if he’ll play.
Whoever does may have a marked benefit at the skill positions compared to Texas Tech, particularly at receiver, as the Longhorn receivers match up well against the Red Raiders’ secondary.
College Football HQ Prediction: Texas 37, Texas Tech 31
According to AP top 25 poll
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